Ũthuthuria wa rureti · Ũthuthuria · Takwimu · ndagĩka 7

Ũnene wa kĩgeranio

Mĩthiũrũrũko ĩigana atĩa nĩguo mũhianĩre wĩre ũndũ.

Macokio ma ihenya

Kũmenya na wĩhoko wa kũigana atĩ kanyũmba kagwagĩrwo 1 harĩ 30 handũ ha 1 harĩ 37 nĩ kwendaga mĩthiũrũrũko ta 4,400. Kanyũmba ka 1 harĩ 35, ũrĩa ũngĩrĩha ma, nĩ kwendaga ta 70,000.

1 harĩ 25
~mĩthiũrũrũko 1,100
1 harĩ 30
~mĩthiũrũrũko 4,400
1 harĩ 35
~mĩthiũrũrũko 70,000
inegene
∝ 1/√n

Nĩ kĩĩ ĩkwenda nyingĩ ũguo

Kĩmenyithia kĩrĩa ũracaria, magũa manini ma kũongerereka harĩ o mĩthiũrũrũko ngiri, nĩ kĩnini mũno kũgerekanĩria na inegene rĩa binomial rĩa √(n·p·(1−p)) ≈ √(n/37). Inegene rĩnyiihaga ta 1/√n, kwoguo kũnyiihia ũtarĩ na ma nuthu nĩ kwendaga mĩthiũrũrũko maita mana. KanyũmbaindoKanyũmbaKamwe ka tũnyũmba 37 tũrĩ na namba rota-inĩ. Ningĩ metagwo: slot, cup.Thoma wothe → ka 1/30 kagwagĩrwo maita 33 harĩ ngiri, handũ ha 27 marĩa metagĩrĩrwo: magũa ithathatũ ma kũongerereka, na ũtiganu wa kawaidahithabuŨtiganu wa kawaidaMũri wa ũgarũrũku; ũraihu wa kawaida wa mũico kuuma thogora ũrĩa wetagĩrĩrwo.Thoma wothe → wa ta ithano. Kĩgeranio kĩmwe kĩa ngiri gĩtingĩhota gũtigithũkania maũndũ macio na wĩhoko.

Mĩthiũrũrũko ĩrĩa yendekaga kũmenya kanyũmba karĩ na ũrũmbĩrĩri (hinya 80%, rũhande rũmwe 5%)mĩthiũrũrũko
1 harĩ 20
≈ 500
1 harĩ 25
≈ 1,100
1 harĩ 30
≈ 4,400
1 harĩ 33
≈ 10,000
1 harĩ 35
≈ 70,000
mĩthiũrũrũko
035000≈ 70,000
Ũrũmbĩrĩri ũrĩa ũngĩrĩha (1/35 kana gũkĩra) nĩ wendaga mĩthiũrũrũko makũmi ma ngiri. Ũrĩa ũngĩona thĩinĩ wa mĩthiũrũrũko ngiri nĩ mũnene mũno na ndũngĩtigwo thutha wa gĩthiũrũrũki gũthondekwo.

Mũtaratara wa hithabu

Harĩ kĩgeranio kĩa rũhande rũmwe kĩa kanyũmba kamwe kĩa mũhaka wa 5% na hinya wa 80%, n ĩrĩa yendekaga nĩ ta ((1.645·√(p₀(1−p₀)) + 0.84·√(p₁(1−p₁))) / (p₁ − p₀))², p₀ ĩrĩ 1/37 na p₁ ĩrĩ mweke ũrĩa ũrĩ na ũguuni. Ũguo nĩ wa ma harĩ kanyũmba kamwe gathuurĩtwo mbere. Angĩkorwo ũrarora tũnyũmba tuothe 37 ũgĩcaria kĩrĩa kĩrĩ ũrugarĩ mũno, ingĩhia n maita ta merĩ nginya matatũ nĩguo mweke wa kuona ũndũ ũtarĩ kuo ũtũũre wa ma.

Ũrĩa ũngĩthoma mĩico

Namba ĩrĩ ũrugarĩng'anoNamba ĩrĩ ũrugarĩNamba ĩrĩa ĩumĩte maita maingĩ gũkĩra ũrĩa kwetagĩrĩrwo ihinda-inĩ rĩa rĩu. Gĩthiũrũrũki-inĩ kĩa kĩhooto ndĩĩraga ũndũ o na ũmwe.Thoma wothe → thutha wa mĩthiũrũrũko 300 nĩ inegene. Thutha wa 3,000 nĩ gĩtũmi gĩa kũongerera ingĩ 3,000 kuuma gĩthiũrũrũki-inĩ o kĩu. Thutha wa 30,000 no gĩkorwo nĩ gĩthiũrũrũki kĩagĩrĩire gũthimwo na indo. Ũrũmbĩrĩri o wothe ũrĩa wandĩkĩtwo atĩ nĩ wahũthĩrirwo ũhoro-inĩ wa tene waakĩtwo igũrũ rĩa makũmi ma ngiri ma mĩthiũrũrũko ĩandĩkĩtwo, na o ũmwe waguo ũgĩoya mĩeri.

mĩthiũrũrũko ĩandĩkĩtwoũrĩa ũngĩuga na ma
< 500gũtirĩ ũndũ wa kanyũmba o nako
1,000kĩgeranio kĩa chi-square (χ²) no gĩĩkwo; kĩonaga o mahĩtia manene mũno
5,000kanyũmba ka 1/30 no gakorwo konekaga; ka 1/35 gatingĩoneka
20,000kanyũmba ka 1/33 konekaga wega; icunjĩ no ciandĩkwo ramani
70,000+kanyũmba ka 1/35 karĩ na baita no gatũũrio
namba o yothe, ĩnyitanĩte kuuma ithiũrũrũki nyingĩgũtirĩ; ũrageria mũtukanio

Thogora wa ũhoro ũcio

Mĩthiũrũrũko 50 o thaa ĩmwe, mĩthiũrũrũko 10,000 nĩ thaa 200 cia kwandĩka, kana wiki nyingĩ cia kũgwata mĩico ĩrĩa ĩcabĩtwo, yothe kuuma mũtwe wa gĩthiũrũrũkiindoMũtwe wa gĩthiũrũrũkiRĩĩtwa rĩngĩ rĩa rota: gĩcunjĩ kĩrĩa gĩthiũrũrũkaga na kĩkuuaga namba.Thoma wothe → ũmwe ũmenyekete ũrĩa kasino ĩtarĩ yagarũrĩra handũ kana ĩkaigĩra thingo njerũ hĩndĩ ĩyo. Ũndũ ũcio, ti takwimu, nĩguo ũtũmĩte mũthako wa ũrũmbĩrĩri ũthire: ihinda rĩa gũthondeka gĩthiũrũrũki nĩ inini gũkĩra ihinda rĩa gũcookanĩrĩria ũhoro.

Gũthoma mĩico ya mĩthiũrũrũko ĩrĩa ĩcabĩtwo

Ũnene wa kĩgeranio harĩ uumithio wa kasino

Hithabu o icio nĩ ciugaga mũthaki nĩ endaga ihinda rĩigana atĩa nĩguo one uumithio wa kasinohithabuUumithio wa kasinoGĩcunjĩ kĩa o mbeca cia beti kĩrĩa kasino ĩigaga kũringana na gatagatĩ: 2.70% rureti-inĩ ya Rũraya.Thoma wothe → mĩico-inĩ yake mwene: mĩthiũrũrũko ta 1,400 ya beti cia marĩhi maigana nĩguo kũgĩe sigma ĩmwe, na 10,000 nĩguo uumithio ũcio ũtige kũhĩtanio. Mũndũ o wothe ũrauga atĩ mũtaratara nĩ ũrutaga wĩra harĩ mĩthiũrũrũko mĩnini gũkĩra ũguo nĩ inegene arahe ũhoro.

Fomula

n ≈ ((1.645·√(p₀(1−p₀)) + 0.84·√(p₁(1−p₁))) / (p₁ − p₀))²
σ(count) = √(n·p·(1−p))

Ciũria

Nĩ harĩ njĩra ya ihenya?

Kũgeria icunjĩgĩthiũrũrũkiGĩcunjĩ kĩa gĩthiũrũrũkiRũhande rũrũmanĩte rwa tũnyũmba gĩthiũrũrũki-inĩ, ti gĩkundi kĩa namba ramani-inĩ ya metha.Thoma wothe → handũ ha tũnyũmba nĩ gũteithagia, tondũ ũgwati wa kĩĩrĩ kaingĩ ũhutagia kĩhande kĩa gĩthiũrũrũki, na kĩmenyithia gĩkongerekanaga harĩ tũnyũmba twa kũhakana. No ndũgarũraga mũigana wa namba ũcio.

No njohanie ũhoro wa gĩthiũrũrũki o kĩmwe wa mĩthenya mĩngĩ?

Ĩĩ, angĩkorwo mũtwe wa gĩthiũrũrũki nĩ o ũmwe na ndũrĩ wathondekwo. Ũndũ ũcio nĩguo ũritũ kũmenya.

Nĩ kĩĩ hinya wa 80%?

Nĩ mũtugo wa ataarĩria a takwimu. Nĩ kuuga ũrũmbĩrĩri wa ma wa ũnene ũrĩa uugĩtwo ũngĩmenyeka maita mana harĩ matano.

Gĩa gũtheka

Inegene rĩnyiihaga ta 1/√n. Ũkirĩrĩria wĩnyiihaga na ihenya makĩria.

Inegene rĩnyiihaga ta 1/√n. Ũkirĩrĩria wĩnyiihaga na ihenya makĩria.

Kũrĩa ũhoro uumĩte

  1. Feller, W. An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. 1. Wiley, gĩcabo kĩa 3, 1968. Ũthiri wa mbeca cia mũthaki wa beti, gĩcunjĩ XIV.
  2. Barnhart, R. T. Beating the Wheel. Lyle Stuart, 1992.
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