Kũrũmĩrĩra · Kũrũmĩrĩra · ndagĩka 8

Kũrũmĩrĩra: ihinda rĩa Martingale

Dola ikũmi ndune-inĩ, ikaingĩhio maita merĩ thutha wa o hasara, metha-inĩ ya $500. Mũthiũrũrũko o mũthiũrũrũko, o na mũthiũrũrũko ũrĩa ũrĩthagia.

Macokio ma ihenya

Ihinda rĩa kũigerekanio rĩa Martingale kuuma mbeca cia mũthako $1,000. Ũhootani mũnini maita mĩrongo ĩna na ũmwe, ningĩ hasara ithathatũ irũmĩrĩranĩte na beti ya mũgwanja ĩkĩregwo. Ihinda rĩa mũthako rĩthiraga rĩrĩ na hasara ya $220 thutha wa gũkorwo na baita ya $410, na ũguo nĩguo mũtaratara ũcio wĩkaga.

beti ya kĩambĩrĩria
$10 ndune-inĩ
mũhaka wa metha
$500
hasara cia kũũthũkia
6
p(hasara 6 irũmĩrĩranĩte)
1.8% o mũgĩrĩrĩ

Mũbango

Beti $10 ndunebetiNduneBeti ya marĩhi maigana ya namba 18 ndune. Kĩbaranja: rouge.Thoma wothe →-inĩ. Thutha wa hasara, ingĩhia maita merĩ. Thutha wa ũhootani, cooka $10. Mũhaka wa methamethaMũhaka wa methaBeti nini mũno na nene mũno ĩrĩa yĩtĩkĩrĩtio. Mũhaka wa igũrũ nĩguo ũrũgamagia mĩgarũrĩro ya beti ya kũingĩhia maita meerĩ.Thoma wothe → $500, nĩ ũndũ ũcio mbeca cia beti nĩ 10, 20, 40, 80, 160, 320 na thutha beti ya $640 ĩrĩa metha ĩkũrega. Hasara ithathatũ irũmĩrĩranĩte nĩ ithũkagia mũtaratara ũyũ; o mũgĩrĩrĩ ũrĩ na (19/37)⁶ ≈ 1.8% ya gwĩka ũguo, na ihinda rĩa mũthako rĩa mĩthiũrũrũko 100 rĩrĩ na ta mĩgĩrĩrĩ 50. Ũrĩa wetagĩrĩrwo: mweke wa ta 60% wa gũthũka thĩinĩ wa mĩthiũrũrũko 100, na hasara ya $630 rĩrĩa ũgũthũka.

Mĩhaka ya metha ya rureti

Mĩthiũrũrũko 1–30

MartingalemũbangoMartingaleMũgarũrĩro wa beti ũrĩa ũingĩhagia beti maita meerĩ thutha wa o hasara. Rora gĩcunjĩ kĩa Mĩbango wone ũrĩa ũrutaga na ũrĩa ũtarutaga.Thoma wothe → ya kawaida: mĩhari ya hasara ĩmwe nginya ithatũ, o mũhari ũgathirio nĩ ũhootani ũrehaga +$10. Mũthiũrũrũko-inĩ wa 30 tũrĩ na ũhootani maita 17, o ũmwe ũkĩrĩkia mũgĩrĩrĩ, na tũrĩ na baita ya $170. Beti nene mũno nginya hau yarĩ $80 thutha wa hasara ithatũ. Kũiguagwo ta karĩngĩ ka kũruta noti cia $10.

mũgĩrĩrĩmũrũmĩrĩranombeca cia betimũico
1H10+$10
2U H10, 20+$10
3U U H10, 20, 40+$10
4H10+$10
5U U U H10, 20, 40, 80+$10
6–17ciothe, hasara nginya 3≤ 80+$120
thutha wa mĩthiũrũrũko 30mĩgĩrĩrĩ 17+$170

Mĩthiũrũrũko 31–60

O ũguo ũguo, na mũgĩrĩrĩ ũmwe wa hasara inya (beti nginya $160, ningĩ ũhootani) ũrĩa waigire $310 metha-inĩ kwa kahinda na ũkĩiguwo ta ũcamba. Thutha wa mĩthiũrũrũko 60: mĩgĩrĩrĩ 41 ĩrĩkĩtio, baita ya $410, na mbeca cia mũthakombecaMbeca cia mũthakoMbeca ciothe iria ciigĩtwo cia gũthaka. Ũrũgamĩrĩri wa mbeca cia mũthako nĩ gũtua nĩ cigana ũngĩiga ũgwati-inĩ beti-inĩ o ĩmwe na ihinda-inĩ o rĩmwe rĩa mũthako.Thoma wothe → ciakinyĩte thĩ mũno $1,040 kuuma mũthiũrũrũko wa 30. Mũhianĩre wa o ihinda rĩa Martingale nĩ ũhaanaga ũũ ihinda inene rĩa ũraihu waguo.

Mĩgĩrĩrĩ mĩrongo ĩna na ũmwe ya $10 o ũmwe: kwa thaa ĩmwe, Martingale ĩiguagwo ta karĩngĩ ka kũruta ũhootani mũnini.

Mĩthiũrũrũko 61–66

U U U U U U. Mbeca cia beti 10, 20, 40, 80, 160, 320: $630 nĩ ciathira. Beti ĩrĩa ĩrũmĩrĩire yakorirwo ĩrĩ $640; mũhaka nĩ $500. Mũtaratara nĩ wathũka. No tũbeti $500 (na ĩngĩhoota, tũgũkorwo o na hasara ya $130 mũgĩrĩrĩ-inĩ) kana tũcooke $10 na twĩtĩkĩre hasara. NjirũbetiNjirũBeti ya marĩhi maigana ya namba 18 njirũ. Kĩbaranja: noir.Thoma wothe → kana therogĩthiũrũrũkiTheroKanyũmba kamwe ka rangi wa matu karĩa gatahumbagĩrwo nĩ beti o na ĩmwe ya marĩhi maigana, ya dazeni kana ya koramu; nĩkĩo kĩrehi kĩa uumithio wa kasino. Ningĩ: thero ĩmwe, 0.Thoma wothe → ithathatũ irũmĩrĩranĩte irĩ na mwekehithabuMwekeMweke wa mũico, kuuma 0 nginya 1 kana 0% nginya 100%. Namba ĩmwe: 1/37 = 2.70%.Thoma wothe → wa 1.8% o mũgĩrĩrĩ. Twarĩ tũrĩkĩtie ta mĩgĩrĩrĩ 45. Mweke wa gũkinya harĩa thĩinĩ wa mĩgĩrĩrĩ 45 warĩ ta 55%. Ti mũtino mũũru; warĩ gatagatĩ ka mũhari.

Ihinda rĩĩrĩ na mangĩ kenda ta rĩomũico gũkĩgereranio na kĩambĩrĩria
+$2,450$0−$1,000+$1,730−$5000125250375500mĩthiũrũrũkomũico
mahinda 1,000 × mĩthiũrũrũko 500 · rangi wa zambarau p10/p25/p75/p90, rangi wa ihũa rĩa matu gatagatĩ ka mũhari, ngerekano 83 itoonekaga wega · thiĩ na kĩmenyithia igũrũ rĩa mbica nĩguo wone icunjĩ mũthiũrũrũko-inĩ
  • p10 −$1,000
  • p25 −$1,000
  • gatagatĩ ka mũhari −$1,000
  • p75 +$790
  • p90 +$1,690
mahinda 1,000 × mĩthiũrũrũko 500 · mũhari wa y nĩ mũtinie nginya gĩcunjĩ kĩa igana kĩa 1 nginya 99 (mĩthia −$1,000 nginya +$2,630) · mĩthiũrũrũko 500 · kĩambĩrĩria $10 · marĩhi maigana
Mĩhari mĩingĩ yambataga kahora na makinya ma $10. Ĩrĩa ĩgũaga, ĩgũaga $630 o rĩmwe. Mahinda-inĩ maingĩ gatagatĩ nĩ karĩ thĩ mũno gũkĩra ka mũthaki wa beti cia mũigana ũmwe.

Mathabu

Baita ya $410 thutha wa mĩthiũrũrũko 60, hasara ya $220 thutha wa 66. Mbeca ciothe cia beti: ta $2,100 mĩthiũrũrũko-inĩ 66, ĩngĩkorwo nĩ $660 harĩ mũthaki ũkũbeti $10 o hĩndĩ. Hasara ĩrĩa yetagĩrĩrwohithabuHasara ĩrĩa yetagĩrĩrwoThogora ũrĩa wetagĩrĩrwo ũingĩhĩtio na mbeca ciothe iria ciabetirwo; mbeca iria ithiraga kũringana na gatagatĩ ihinda-inĩ rĩa mũthako kana ihinda rĩngĩ.Thoma wothe → harĩ $2,100 cia mbeca ciothe cia betimbecaMbeca ciothe cia betiMbeca ciothe iria ciabetirwo ihinda-inĩ rĩa mũthako kana ihinda rĩngĩ, hamwe na mbeca cia ũhootani iria ciabetirwo rĩngĩ. Ningĩ metagwo: handle, action.Thoma wothe → nĩ $57; −$220 iitũ cia ma irĩ ta gĩcunjĩ kĩmwe kĩa ithatũ kĩa ũtiganu wa kawaidahithabuŨtiganu wa kawaidaMũri wa ũgarũrũku; ũraihu wa kawaida wa mũico kuuma thogora ũrĩa wetagĩrĩrwo.Thoma wothe → rungu rwa ũcio, ũndũ ũtarĩ wa kũmakania harĩ mũtaratara ũrĩa mũgayanĩrio waguo ũraihĩte mũno mwena wa ũmotho. Korwo nĩ twarũgamire mũthiũrũrũko-inĩ wa 60 na mũhaka wa baitamũbangoMũhaka wa baitaMũoroto wa baita ũtuĩtwo mbere ũrĩa ũrĩkinya ũkarĩkia ihinda rĩa mũthako.Thoma wothe → wa $400, tũngĩoimire na baita ya $410, na ihinda rĩa mũthako rĩrĩa rĩrũmĩrĩire rĩngĩakorirwo na 1.8% o ĩyo o mũgĩrĩrĩ.

Mũhaka wa hasara / mũhaka wa baita

Ũrĩa ihinda rĩĩrĩ rĩonanagia

Martingale ĩgarũraga beti ya 48.65% ĩgatuĩka mũrũmĩrĩrano ũhootaga 98% ya mĩgĩrĩrĩ yaguo na ũkaũrwo nĩ ithimombecaGĩthimoMbeca cia beti cia mũthingi iria mũtaratara kana mũthaki ahũthagĩra. Mĩgarũrĩro ya beti ĩtaarĩrio na ithimo nĩguo ĩhũthĩke metha-inĩ o yothe.Thoma wothe → 63 harĩ 2% ĩrĩa ĩngĩ. Ndĩgarũraga hasara ĩrĩa yetagĩrĩrwo o dola; ĩingĩhagia dola. Mũthaki wa beti cia mũigana ũmwe ũrĩa warĩ hakuhĩ na ithuĩ aabetire gĩcunjĩ kĩmwe kĩa ithatũ na akĩũrwo, kũringana na gatagatĩ, nĩ gĩcunjĩ kĩmwe kĩa ithatũ. Mũthaki ũrĩa ũkũhũthĩra mũtaratara ũyũ mwaka mũgima nĩ akahootaga hwaĩ-inĩ nyingĩ na ahootwo mwaka.

Mũbango wa beti cia mũigana ũmwe

Mũhari wa hasara ũũkaga maita maigana atĩa

Beti ya marĩhi maigana gĩthiũrũrũki-inĩ kĩa thero ĩmwe nĩ ĩhootagwo mĩthiũrũrũko 19 harĩ 37. O mũhari nĩ mweke wa atĩ mĩthiũrũrũko ĩmwe ĩrũmanĩrĩire yothe ĩhootwo, na hasara ĩrĩa mũthaki wa Martingale, ũrĩa wĩngĩhagia beti maita meerĩ thutha wa o hasara, ũkoretwo nayo hĩndĩ ĩyo.

Beti ya kĩambĩrĩria
hasara ithingithanĩtiemweketa 1 harĩhasara nginya rĩubeti ĩrĩa ĩngĩ
151.4%2$1$2
226.4%4$3$4
313.5%7$7$8
47.0%14$15$16
53.6%28$31$32
61.8%55$63$64
70.94%106$127$128
80.48%207$255$256
90.25%403$511$512
100.13%784$1,023$1,024
110.065%1527$2,047$2,048
120.034%2974$4,095$4,096
130.017%5792$8,191$8,192
140.0089%11279$16,383$16,384
150.0046%21965$32,767$32,768

Mweke nĩ 19/37 ũkĩingĩhio na guo mwene rĩmwe o hasara, gũtarũo kuuma mũthiũrũrũko ũmwe mũtuĩku. Ihinda iraya rĩa mũthako rĩrĩ na mĩthiũrũrũko mĩingĩ harĩa mũhari ta ũcio ũngĩambĩrĩria, nĩ ũndũ ũcio hwaĩ-inĩ ũmwe ũhoro ũcio nĩ ũngĩhoteka mũno gũkĩra ũrĩa mũhari ũmwe ũngĩonania.

Ciũria

Kũngĩkorwo mũhaka nĩ $5,000?

Hasara kenda nĩcio ingĩũthũkia handũ ha ithathatũ: 0.25% o mũgĩrĩrĩ, na $5,110 igathira rĩrĩa ũndũ ũcio wekĩka. Mũtitĩ ũtakoragwo kaingĩ, mũtitĩ mũraihu makĩria, −2.70% o ĩyo.

Ĩĩ ningĩrĩ nabetire $500 mũthiũrũrũko-inĩ wa 67?

Ĩngĩahootire 48.65% ya mahinda na ĩtige mũgĩrĩrĩ ũrĩ −$130 o na ũguo. Gũtirĩ ũndũ mwega wa gwĩka thutha wa Martingale gũthũka; harĩ o mbeca cia beti iria ũgũthuura thutha ũcio.

Mũhaka wa baita warĩ wa bata?

Ĩĩ, harĩ ihinda rĩu. Ti harĩ gatagatĩ ka mahinda mothe.

Gũthaka na hithabu

Geria ciũria ici wee mwene mbere. O icookio nĩ rĩhingĩtwo; rĩhingũre rĩrĩa ũgaakorwo wĩhaarĩirie.

  1. Metha-inĩ ya $1 nginya $500, mũthaki wa MartingalemũbangoMartingaleMũgarũrĩro wa beti ũrĩa ũingĩhagia beti maita meerĩ thutha wa o hasara. Rora gĩcunjĩ kĩa Mĩbango wone ũrĩa ũrutaga na ũrĩa ũtarutaga.Thoma wothe → ambagĩrĩria na $1 harĩ ndunebetiNduneBeti ya marĩhi maigana ya namba 18 ndune. Kĩbaranja: rouge.Thoma wothe → gĩthiũrũrũki-inĩ kĩa therogĩthiũrũrũkiTheroKanyũmba kamwe ka rangi wa matu karĩa gatahumbagĩrwo nĩ beti o na ĩmwe ya marĩhi maigana, ya dazeni kana ya koramu; nĩkĩo kĩrehi kĩa uumithio wa kasino. Ningĩ: thero ĩmwe, 0.Thoma wothe → ĩmwe. Nĩ hasara ciigana atĩa ikĩrũmĩrĩrana irũgamagia kũingĩhia maita meerĩ, nĩ mbeca ciigana atĩa ciorĩte hĩndĩ ĩyo, na ũndũ ũcio ũhanĩkaga maita maigana atĩa?

    Onia icookio

    Icookio Hasara kenda: $511 nĩ ciorĩte, na beti ĩrĩa ĩrũmĩrĩire ĩngĩrĩ ya $512. Ũhanĩkaga rĩmwe harĩ ta mĩhari 403.

    Mbeca cia beti nĩ 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128 na 256: hamwe $511. Ya ikũmi ĩngĩrĩ $512, gũkĩra mũhaka. Beti ya $500 ĩngĩhoota o na rĩu ĩtigaga mũthaki arĩ thĩ na $11; ĩngĩhootwo ĩmũtigaga arĩ thĩ na $1,011.

    Ndune ĩhootagwo na mweke wa 19/37, nĩ ũndũ ũcio hasara kenda ikĩrũmĩrĩrana irĩ na mweke wa (19/37)⁹ ≈ 0.25%, rĩmwe harĩ ta mĩhari 403. O mũhari ũrĩkĩtio ũhootaga $1, nĩ ũndũ ũcio mũthaki etagĩrĩra ta $402 cia ũhootani mũnini mbere ya hasara ĩyo ĩmwe ya $511, na 2.70% ya mbeca ciothe iria ciabetio o na rĩu nĩ ciũragwo kũringana na gatagatĩ.

    Gĩthiũrũrũki-inĩ kĩa thero igĩrĩ mweke nĩ (20/38)⁹, rĩmwe harĩ ta 323. Bollman (2021) aandĩkĩte “ta 1 harĩ 833”, ũrĩa nĩ (18/38)⁹, mweke wa ũhootani kenda ũkĩrũmĩrĩrana.

Gĩa gũtheka

Ũhootani mũnini maita mĩrongo ĩna na ũmwe na hasara ĩmwe nene. Ũcio nĩguo mũtaratara wothe.

Ũhootani mũnini maita mĩrongo ĩna na ũmwe na hasara ĩmwe nene. Ũcio nĩguo mũtaratara wothe.

Kũrĩa ũhoro uumĩte

  1. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Gĩcunjĩ 13, rureti.
  2. Thorp, E. O. “Optimal gambling systems for favorable games.” Review of the International Statistical Institute 37(3), 1969.
rĩarorirwo rĩngĩ 2026-09-28mũhiano: rureti ya Rũraya, thero ĩmwenjĩra ya wĩra ↗kũrĩa ũhoro uumĩte ↗