Indo · Kĩtarani

Kĩtarani kĩa ũgwati wa gũthira mbeca ciothe

Mweke wa gũkinya muoroto wa baita mbere ya gũthira mbeca cia mũthako, ũkĩiga beti cia mũigana ũmwe cia marĩhi maigana.

Mbeca cia mũthako

Beti

Muoroto

gũkinya muoroto

24.6%

gũthira mbeca mbere

75.4%

muoroto

+$250

ithimo (a / b)

50 / 25

mĩthiũrũrũko ĩrĩa yetagĩrĩrwo nginya kũrĩkia

1,168

EV ya kĩgerio

−$315.70

Gũthoma mũico

Ũkĩiga beti ya $10 o ihinda, ũrĩ na mweke wa 24.6% wa kũgarũra $500 gũtuĩka $750 mbere ya gũthira mbeca ciothe. Beti nene nĩ ciongagĩrĩra mweke ũcio tondũ mĩthiũrũrũko mĩnini nĩ kuuga ũrĩhaga uumithio wa 2.70% maita manini; no nĩ itũmaga mbeca ciambate na ciikũrũke mũno. Geria beti cia $100 ũkĩgerekania na beti cia $5 nĩguo wone ũguo.

Mũtaratara na maũndũ marĩa metĩkĩtio

Gũthira kwa mũthaki wa beti na p = 18/37: P(muoroto) = (1 − (q/p)ᵃ)/(1 − (q/p)ᵃ⁺ᵇ), a = mbeca cia mũthako/beti, b = muoroto/beti. Ihinda rĩrĩa rĩetagĩrĩrwo a/(q−p) − (a+b)·P/(q−p). Beti cia mũigana ũmwe cia marĩhi maigana tu.