Kũrũmĩrĩra · Kũrũmĩrĩra · ndagĩka 7

Kũrũmĩrĩra: beti cia Bond

$140 harĩ namba nene, $50 harĩ mĩhari ĩĩrĩ 13–18, $10 harĩ thero: $200 o mũthiũrũrũko, namba 25 ikahingwo. Ũhurunji wa James Bond mĩthiũrũrũko mĩrongo ĩĩrĩ.

Macokio ma ihenya

Ihinda rĩa kũigerekanio rĩa mĩthiũrũrũko 20 rĩa ũhurunji ũrĩa wendagio ta mũbango wa James Bond. Ũhootani maita ikũmi na meerĩ wa $80, kũgwata mĩhari ĩĩrĩ maita matatũ kwa $100, thero ĩmwe ya $160, na hasara inya cia $200 harĩ 1–12. Mũico +$620, gũtarĩ hĩndĩ hasara yakĩrĩrĩirie $40. Ũhurunji ũcio ũhingaga ta icunjĩ igĩrĩ harĩ ithatũ cia gĩthiũrũrũki. Rĩrĩa namba ĩmwe ya iria itahingĩtwo yagũa, mbeca ciothe cia beti $200 igathira.

o mũthiũrũrũko
$200
ĩhingaga
25 harĩ 37
p(ũhootani)
67.6%
ĩrĩa yetagĩrĩrwo o mũthiũrũrũko
−$5.41

Mũbango

Metha-inĩ ya Rũraya: $140 harĩ 19–36, $50 harĩ mĩhari ĩĩrĩbetiMĩhari ĩĩrĩNamba ithathatũ mĩhari-inĩ ĩĩrĩ ĩrĩa ĩrĩ hamwe, marĩhi 5:1. Kĩbaranja: sixain.Thoma wothe → 13–18, $10 harĩ therogĩthiũrũrũkiTheroKanyũmba kamwe ka rangi wa matu karĩa gatahumbagĩrwo nĩ beti o na ĩmwe ya marĩhi maigana, ya dazeni kana ya koramu; nĩkĩo kĩrehi kĩa uumithio wa kasino. Ningĩ: thero ĩmwe, 0.Thoma wothe →. Namba mĩrongo ĩĩrĩ na ithano nĩ ihingĩtwo. Namba nene ĩrĩhaga $140 na ĩgathiria $60: +$80. Namba ya mĩhari ĩĩrĩ ĩrĩhaga $250 na ĩgathiria $150: +$100. Thero ĩrĩhaga $350 na ĩgathiria $190: +$160. Namba o yothe ya 1–12 ĩthiragia mbeca ciothe: −$200. Thogora ũrĩa wetagĩrĩrwohithabuThogora ũrĩa wetagĩrĩrwoMũico wa gatagatĩ wa o beti ĩmwe ihinda-inĩ iraya. −1/37 ya mbeca cia beti o beti ya kawaida ya rureti ya Rũraya.Thoma wothe → o mũthiũrũrũko nĩ (18×80 + 6×100 + 160 − 12×200)/37 = −$5.41, na ĩyo nĩ 2.70% ya $200. Ũhurunji ũcio nĩ beti ya mũigana ũmwe ĩhumbĩtwo nguo ngũrani.

Mũbango wa beti cia mũigana ũmwe

Mĩthiũrũrũko 1–10

19 27 7 33 15 0 23 31 11 29. Namba nene ithathatũ, mĩhari ĩĩrĩ rĩmwe, thero ĩmwe, hasara igĩrĩ: +480 +100 +160 −400 = +$340. Mbeca iria ciatigara +$340 thutha wa mĩthiũrũrũko ikũmi, na mĩthiũrũrũko ĩĩrĩ ya hasara ĩrĩa o ũmwe woire $200. Thero ya mũthiũrũrũko wa 6 nĩ yarĩhire $160, na ũcio nĩrĩo rĩmwe tu rĩrĩa thero yaiguĩkire ta mũrata.

mũthiũrũrũkonambamũicobaita/hasarambeca iria ciatigara
119nene+$80+$80
227nene+$80+$160
371–12−$200−$40
433nene+$80+$40
515mĩhari ĩĩrĩ+$100+$140
60thero+$160+$300
723nene+$80+$380
831nene+$80+$460
9111–12−$200+$260
1029nene+$80+$340
Mũthiũrũrũko wa gatandatũ: mũbira ũkagwa thero, na cipu ya $10 ĩrĩa ĩrĩ ho ĩgatũma mũthiũrũrũko ũcio ũrehe +$160.

Mĩthiũrũrũko 11–20

5 22 36 14 20 2 28 34 17 25. Hasara igĩrĩ mĩthiũrũrũko-inĩ ĩtandatũ ya mbere nĩ ciacookirie mbeca iria ciatigara +$280; ningĩ namba nene ithatũ na mĩhari ĩĩrĩ rĩmwe ikĩrĩkia ihinda rĩa mũthako rĩrĩ +$620. Mĩthiũrũrũko mĩrongo ĩĩrĩ: namba nene 12, kũgwata mĩhari ĩĩrĩ maita 3, thero 1, hasara 4. Mũico ũrĩa wetagĩrĩrwo warĩ −$108; mũico wa ma +$620, ta ũtiganu wa kawaidahithabuŨtiganu wa kawaidaMũri wa ũgarũrũku; ũraihu wa kawaida wa mũico kuuma thogora ũrĩa wetagĩrĩrwo.Thoma wothe → 1.2 igũrũ wa ũrĩa wetagĩrĩrwo, ũtukũ mwega.

Ihinda rĩĩrĩ na mangĩ kenda ta rĩomũico gũkĩgereranio na kĩambĩrĩria
+$5,500$0−$2,000+$1,640−$1,0000125250375500mĩthiũrũrũkomũico
mahinda 1,000 × mĩthiũrũrũko 500 · rangi wa zambarau p10/p25/p75/p90, rangi wa ihũa rĩa matu gatagatĩ ka mũhari, ngerekano 82 itoonekaga wega · thiĩ na kĩmenyithia igũrũ rĩa mbica nĩguo wone icunjĩ mũthiũrũrũko-inĩ
  • p10 −$2,000
  • p25 −$2,000
  • gatagatĩ ka mũhari −$2,000
  • p75 −$2,000
  • p90 +$780
mahinda 1,000 × mĩthiũrũrũko 500 · mũhari wa y nĩ mũtinie nginya gĩcunjĩ kĩa igana kĩa 1 nginya 99 (mĩthia −$2,000 nginya +$8,860) · mĩthiũrũrũko 500 · kĩambĩrĩria $200 · Beti cia James Bond
Beti ya mũigana ũmwe ya $200 harĩ namba 25: ũhootani wa $80–$160 ta mĩthiũrũrũko ĩĩrĩ harĩ ĩtatũ, hasara ya $200 mũthiũrũrũko ũmwe harĩ ĩtatũ. Mũhari wa gatagatĩ ũikũrũkaga −$5.41 o mũthiũrũrũko.

Mathabu

Mbeca ciothe cia beti $4,000 mĩthiũrũrũko-inĩ mĩrongo ĩĩrĩ. Hasara ĩrĩa yetagĩrĩrwohithabuHasara ĩrĩa yetagĩrĩrwoThogora ũrĩa wetagĩrĩrwo ũingĩhĩtio na mbeca ciothe iria ciabetirwo; mbeca iria ithiraga kũringana na gatagatĩ ihinda-inĩ rĩa mũthako kana ihinda rĩngĩ.Thoma wothe → $108. Ũtiganu wa kawaida wa mũthiũrũrũko ũmwe nĩ ta $135, nĩ ũndũ ũcio mĩthiũrũrũko mĩrongo ĩĩrĩ ĩrĩ na ũtiganu wa kawaida wa ta $605; +$620 kana makĩria nĩ ũtukũ ũmwe harĩ kenda. Mĩthiũrũrũko o ĩyo mĩrongo ĩĩrĩ na beti ya mũigana ũmwe ya $200 ndunebetiNduneBeti ya marĩhi maigana ya namba 18 ndune. Kĩbaranja: rouge.Thoma wothe →-inĩ ĩngĩrĩ yarĩ na mũico ũrĩa wetagĩrĩrwo o ũmwe na mũgayanĩrio mwarĩ makĩria (σ ≈ $200 o mũthiũrũrũko): ũhurunji ũcio ũrĩ na ũgarũrũkuhithabuŨgarũrũkuGĩthimi kĩa ũrĩa mĩico ĩhurunjũkaga ĩrigiicĩirie thogora ũrĩa wetagĩrĩrwo. Nĩ mũnene harĩ beti ya namba ĩmwe, mũnini harĩ beti cia marĩhi maigana.Thoma wothe → mũnini gũkĩra beti ya marĩhi maiganabetiBeti ya marĩhi maiganaNdune/njirũ, itagayanĩka/igayanĩka, nene/nini. Namba 18, marĩhi 1:1.Thoma wothe → tondũ ũhootaga kaingĩ na mbeca nini.

Ũrĩa ihinda rĩĩrĩ rĩonanagia

Ũhurunji wa Bond nĩ beti ithatũ iria mĩico yacio ĩrĩa yetagĩrĩrwo yongeranio ĩkaingana na −1/37 ya mbeca ciothe, o ta mũnyitanĩrio o wothe wa beti cia kawaida. Mũtugo waguo wa ma nĩ ũhingi: ũhootani wa 67.6% ũtũmaga hwaĩ-inĩ ũiguĩke ta mũtaratara. 32.4% ya mĩthiũrũrũko ĩrĩa ĩhootagwo yoyaga $200 o ũmwe, na ihinda-inĩ iraya ĩtwaraga o ũrĩa hithabu yugaga. O na rĩĩtwa rĩu, ndĩrĩ mabuku-inĩ ma Fleming: Bond wake abetaga dazenibetiDazeni1–12, 13–24 kana 25–36, marĩhi 2:1.Thoma wothe → igĩrĩ. Tũbuku tũrĩa tũrutanaga mĩbango nĩtuo twarĩkirie ũndũ ũcio.

Rureti mabuku-inĩMũbango wa dazeni na koramu

Ciũria

Ũhurunji ũcio nĩ ũrutaga wĩra wega makĩria na la partage?

Beti ya namba nene nĩ beti ya marĩhi maigana, nĩ ũndũ ũcio metha-inĩ ya Ũbaranja ĩthiragia o $70 thero yagũa handũ ha $140, na thero ĩkarehe +$230 handũ ha +$160. Uumithio wa hamwe ta 1.8%. Nĩ mwega makĩria, na o na ũguo nĩ hasara.

Nĩ kĩĩ gĩtũmaga ũkorwo $140, $50, $10?

Ũiganani ũcio nĩ ũtũmaga ũhootani ũiganane hanini: $80, $100, $160. Ũiganani o wothe ũrehaga uumithio o ũmwe.

Nĩ beti ya mũigana ũmwe?

Ĩĩ. Ũbetaga $200 harĩ namba o icio 25 o mũthiũrũrũko. Mbeca kana namba icio itigarũrũkaga thutha wa ũhootani kana hasara.

Gĩa gũtheka

Icunjĩ igĩrĩ harĩ ithatũ cia gĩthiũrũrũki. Gĩcunjĩ kĩmwe harĩ ithatũ kĩa mahinda, mbeca ciothe.

Icunjĩ igĩrĩ harĩ ithatũ cia gĩthiũrũrũki. Gĩcunjĩ kĩmwe harĩ ithatũ kĩa mahinda, mbeca ciothe.

Kũrĩa ũhoro uumĩte

  1. Fleming, I. Casino Royale. Jonathan Cape, 1953. Gĩcunjĩ 7: Bond abetaga dazeni igĩrĩ, ti ũhurunji ũyũ.
  2. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Gĩcunjĩ 13, rureti.
rĩarorirwo rĩngĩ 2026-09-28mũhiano: rureti ya Rũraya, thero ĩmwenjĩra ya wĩra ↗kũrĩa ũhoro uumĩte ↗