Thoma rureti · Watho · ndagĩka 6

Watho wa La Partage

“Kũgayana”: rureti-inĩ ya Ũbaranja, la partage nĩ kuuga beti cia marĩhi maiganabetiBeti ya marĩhi maiganaNdune/njirũ, itagayanĩka/igayanĩka, nene/nini. Namba 18, marĩhi 1:1.Thoma wothe → ciũraga nuthu tu rĩrĩa thero yoima.

Macokio ma ihenya

Na la partage, uumithio wa kasinohithabuUumithio wa kasinoGĩcunjĩ kĩa o mbeca cia beti kĩrĩa kasino ĩigaga kũringana na gatagatĩ: 2.70% rureti-inĩ ya Rũraya.Thoma wothe → harĩ ndune/njirũ, itagayanĩka/igayanĩka na nene/nini nĩ ũnyihaga kuuma 2.70% nginya 1.35%. Beti iria ingĩ itigarũrũkaga.

ĩhũthagĩrwo harĩ
beti cia marĩhi maigana
thero yoima
nuthu ya mbeca cia beti nĩ ĩcookagio
uumithio
1.35%
harĩ $10, mĩthiũrũrũko 100
−$13.51

Ũrĩa watho wa la partage wa rureti ũrutaga wĩra

Nĩ wabeti $10 harĩ ndunebetiNduneBeti ya marĩhi maigana ya namba 18 ndune. Kĩbaranja: rouge.Thoma wothe →. MũbiraindoMũbiraMũbira mũnini ũrĩa ũikagio njĩra-inĩ ũkĩhaana ũrorete mwena ũrĩa ũngĩ wa rota. Mĩbira ya rĩu nĩ ya ivorine kana Teflon, 18–21 mm.Thoma wothe → nĩ wagwĩra therogĩthiũrũrũkiTheroKanyũmba kamwe ka rangi wa matu karĩa gatahumbagĩrwo nĩ beti o na ĩmwe ya marĩhi maigana, ya dazeni kana ya koramu; nĩkĩo kĩrehi kĩa uumithio wa kasino. Ningĩ: thero ĩmwe, 0.Thoma wothe →. Handũ ha gũkuua cipumbecaCipuKĩndũ kĩonanagia mbeca ciathimĩtwo, kĩigagwo ramani-inĩ ya metha nĩguo ũbeti. Ningĩ: check.Thoma wothe →, mũgai nĩ agũcookeria $5 na akoya $5. Gũtirĩ ũndũ ũngĩ wa mũthako ũgarũrũkaga: ndune ĩrĩhaga o 1 kwa 1, thero ĩrĩhaga o 35 kwa 1 kũrĩ ũrĩa wothe wamĩbetire, dazenibetiDazeni1–12, 13–24 kana 25–36, marĩhi 2:1.Thoma wothe → na koramubetiKoramuNamba ikũmi na igĩrĩ koramu-inĩ ĩmwe ya kũrũgama ya ramani ya metha, marĩhi 2:1.Thoma wothe → ciũraga o biũ. Watho ũcio ũhutagia tũhari tũrĩa ithathatũ twa marĩhi maigana tu, na no rĩrĩa thero yoima.

Hithabu yacio

EV o gĩthimombecaGĩthimoMbeca cia beti cia mũthingi iria mũtaratara kana mũthaki ahũthagĩra. Mĩgarũrĩro ya beti ĩtaarĩrio na ithimo nĩguo ĩhũthĩke metha-inĩ o yothe.Thoma wothe → harĩ ndune hatarĩ watho ũcio: (18/37)(+1) + (19/37)(−1) = −1/37 ≈ −2.70%. Na la partagewathoLa partageWatho wa Ũbaranja: thero yoka, nuthu ya mbeca cia beti ya marĩhi maigana nĩ ĩcookagio. Ũnyihagia uumithio wa kasino beti-inĩ icio nginya nuthu, 1.35%.Thoma wothe →: (18/37)(+1) + (18/37)(−1) + (1/37)(−½) = −1/74 ≈ −1.35%. Nuthu ya hasara ya thero nĩ ĩcookagio, nĩ ũndũ ũcio nuthu ya uumithio nĩ ĩthiraga. Nĩguo watho wiki wa rureti ũrĩa wonekaga mũno ũteithagia mũthaki, na ũtiganu ũcio nĩ ũingĩhaga ihinda-inĩ rĩa mũthako.

Hasara ĩrĩa yetagĩrĩrwo harĩ beti cia marĩhi maigana, $10 × mĩthiũrũrũko 100$
Ya Ũbaranja, la partage
$13.51
Ya Rũraya
$27.03
Ya Amerika
$52.63
$
026.32$52.63

Kũrĩa ũngĩmĩona

Nĩ ya kawaida kasino-inĩ cia Ũbaranja na cia Monaco, nĩ ĩkoragwo kaingĩ Rũraya kũrĩa kũngĩ, na nĩ ĩonekaga ta rureti ya la partage Intanetĩ-inĩ metha-inĩ nyingĩ cia rĩu-rĩu iria ciĩtagwo “French RoulettemũthembaRureti ya ŨbaranjaGĩthiũrũrũki kĩa thero ĩmwe kĩrĩ na la partage kana en prison, kĩnyihagia uumithio wa kasino wa beti cia marĩhi maigana nginya 1.35%.Thoma wothe →”. Rora kĩhari kĩa mawatho: rĩĩtwa rĩu rĩmwe nĩ rĩhũthagĩrwo harĩ metha ya Rũraya ĩrĩ na mbica cia Kĩbaranja na ĩtarĩ na partage. Nyũmba imwe cia mĩhaka mĩnene cia US nĩ ciheanaga watho wa “surrender” gĩthiũrũrũki-inĩ kĩa thero igĩrĩ, ũrĩa ũrĩ la partage na rĩĩtwa rĩngĩ na ũnyihagia uumithio harĩ beti cia marĩhi maigana kuuma 5.26% nginya 2.63%.

methauumithio harĩ beti cia marĩhi maiganakĩrĩa gĩkoragwo thero yoima
Ya Ũbaranja, la partage1.35%nuthu ya mbeca cia beti nĩ ĩcookagio
Ya Ũbaranja, en prison≈ 1.35–1.39%mbeca cia beti inyitagwo mũthiũrũrũko ũngĩ ũmwe
Ya Rũraya, hatarĩ watho2.70%mbeca cia beti nĩ ciũraga
Ya Amerika na surrender2.63%nuthu ya mbeca cia beti nĩ ĩcookagio
Ya Amerika, hatarĩ watho5.26%mbeca cia beti nĩ ciũraga

Rureti ya Ũbaranja

Ũrĩa ũhutagia mĩtaratara

O mũgarũrĩro wa betimũbangoMũgarũrĩro wa betiWatho o wothe ũgarũraga mbeca cia beti kũringana na mĩico ĩrĩa ĩhĩtũkĩte. Mĩgarũrĩro ya hasara ĩmĩambararagia thutha wa hasara, ya ũhootani thutha wa ũhootani.Thoma wothe → wa marĩhi maigana (MartingalemũbangoMartingaleMũgarũrĩro wa beti ũrĩa ũingĩhagia beti maita meerĩ thutha wa o hasara. Rora gĩcunjĩ kĩa Mĩbango wone ũrĩa ũrutaga na ũrĩa ũtarutaga.Thoma wothe →, D’Alembert, LabouchèremũbangoLabouchèreMũtaratara wa kũhuria: andĩka mũhari wa namba, beti mũigana wa namba cia mĩthia yerĩ, ũcihurie thutha wa ũhootani, wongerere mbeca cia beti iria ciathira thutha wa hasara.Thoma wothe →, ParolimũbangoParoliMũgarũrĩro wa beti wa ũhootani: ingĩhia maita meerĩ thutha wa ũhootani, cooka kĩambĩrĩria thutha wa hasara kana thutha wa ũhootani ithatũ ũrũmanĩrĩire. Ningĩ: Martingale ya kũgarũrũka.Thoma wothe →) wakĩtwo igũrũ rĩa ndune/njirũbetiNjirũBeti ya marĩhi maigana ya namba 18 njirũ. Kĩbaranja: noir.Thoma wothe →. Metha-inĩ ya la partage, hasara ĩrĩa yetagĩrĩrwohithabuHasara ĩrĩa yetagĩrĩrwoThogora ũrĩa wetagĩrĩrwo ũingĩhĩtio na mbeca ciothe iria ciabetirwo; mbeca iria ithiraga kũringana na gatagatĩ ihinda-inĩ rĩa mũthako kana ihinda rĩngĩ.Thoma wothe → o gĩthimo kĩrĩa kĩabetirwo nĩ ĩnyihaga nginya nuthu harĩ mĩtaratara ĩyo yothe. Gũtirĩ ũmwe ũtuĩkaga wa baita; gatagatĩ gatigaraga karĩ thĩ ya thero. No angĩkorwo nĩ ũreciria gũthaka ũmwe wayo, watho wa metha nĩ ũgarũraga mũico waku makĩria ya ũrĩa mũtaratara ũrĩa ũgũthuura ũngĩgarũra.

Mũbango wa D'AlembertMũbango wa Labouchère

Fomula

EV = (18/37)(+1) + (18/37)(−1) + (1/37)(−½) = −1/74

Ciũria

La partage nĩ ĩhũthagĩrwo harĩ dazeni?

Aca. No harĩ beti icio ithathatũ cia marĩhi maigana tu.

Nĩ ĩiganaine na en prison?

Hakuhĩ. Cierĩ iheanaga ta 1.35%. La partage ĩrĩhagia o rĩmwe; en prisonwathoEn prisonWatho wa Ũbaranja: thero yoka, beti ya marĩhi maigana ĩgirĩrio nginya mũthiũrũrũko ũrĩa ũrũmĩrĩire handũ ha kũhootwo. Ũnyihagia uumithio wa kasino beti-inĩ icio nginya nuthu.Thoma wothe → ĩheanaga mũthiũrũrũko wa kerĩ.

Nĩ ingĩthuura ũmwe wamo?

Kaingĩ aca. Metha ĩhũthagĩra ũmwe kana ũrĩa ũngĩ. Metha imwe cia Monte Carlo nĩ irekagĩrĩria mũthaki athuure rĩrĩa thero yoima.

Gĩa gũtheka

1.35%. Beti njega mũno rureti-inĩ nĩ watho, ti namba.

1.35%. Beti njega mũno rureti-inĩ nĩ watho, ti namba.

Kũrĩa ũhoro uumĩte

  1. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Gĩcunjĩ 13, rureti.
  2. Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed. Academic Press, 2013.
rĩarorirwo rĩngĩ 2026-09-28mũhiano: rureti ya Rũraya, thero ĩmwenjĩra ya wĩra ↗kũrĩa ũhoro uumĩte ↗